At least a journeyman mathematician would be needed. I could not picture where to begin myself, so had to ask around.

When our specimen was a seedling, what were the chances this sculpture would emerge by slow, random, mindless accretions as it apparently did? It is uncannily like a mythological animal. The spectral shape might come to a man in dreams and visions and henceforth be crafted by human hands into a totem, a fantastic being planned to appear this way from the start. What is the probability figuring only natural causes? I am advised I should first specify the universe (or space) of possible outcomes measured during the estimated lifetime of the tree — easy with a coin-flip, harder but achievable with a series of dice-throws — however: impossible for me to imagine with this structure. I expect the chance to be numeral “1” over so many zeros it defies conception.